First of all - my condolences to the people of Spain. A truly terrible tragedy and my thoughts go to them all.
Secondly, it doesn't really matter why people changed their votes or why the PSOE garnered the win. It doesn't matter what the political climate was up until the election and it doesn't matter what the political climate is now. It doesn't matter that the PSOE disagreed with the war in Iraq from the very beginning.
What matters is what terrorists believe the reason for the change to be. If they believed they could get Spain out of Iraq by murdering 200 people, and Spain leaves Iraq, then murdering 200 people gets Spain out of Iraq. If it works in Spain, it could work in other countries and is at least worth a try.
"Nothing is lost to the Absolute, and all appearances have reality." - F. H. Bradley (1846 - 1924)
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